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<title>RafikiArdhi</title>
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<description>What we&#39;re working on now, and the places and people behind our work.</description>
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<title>RafikiArdhi</title>
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<item>
  <title>Soils in motion</title>
  <link>https://rafikiardhi.earth/projects/soils-in-motion.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 





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<p><img src="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/dry-river-storm.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="Lightning striking beyond a wide dry sandy riverbed lined with bush, under dark storm clouds."></p>
<figcaption>A dry sand river as a storm builds. Within hours the same channel can carry water.</figcaption>
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<p>Most soil science treats soil as something that sits still. We are treating it as a system in motion: water moving through it in drought and in flood, heat and energy flowing with it, and the soil organising itself around that flow over time.</p>
<p>The key is exergy: the share of energy a soil can actually put to work, rather than the total energy passing through it. What matters is not how much energy a soil receives, but how well it uses what it has.</p>
<p>That changes how soil is perceived. A desert soil can seem “dead”: bare, crusted and pale. Yet with very little rain and energy, it may be doing its jobs remarkably well. Its surface crust holds the ground together and fixes nutrients, it stores water deep where it does not evaporate, and it locks away carbon for thousands of years. A tropical soil under lush forest can look full of life, yet much of that richness sits in the plants, not the soil. Many tropical soil is deeply weathered and hold few nutrients of its own, and clear the forest and that apparent fertility can disappear within a few seasons. Judged against the energy each has available, the desert soil may function just as well for ecosystem services.</p>
<p>To capture this, we are bringing mathematics from outside soil science into it, linking how energy moves with how soil organises, functions and recovers. The work spans drylands to the tropics, from the Western United States to the Malawi, with a students leading the charge.</p>
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<p><img src="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/sossusvlei-banner.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="A white cracked clay pan with dead camel thorn trees in front of tall red dunes under a deep blue sky."></p>
<figcaption>Sossusvlei, Namibia, in September. The pan stays dry for long stretches, but it can fill with water from the ephemeral Tsauchab River, and a desert bloom follows from the seed bank that survives the dry heat.</figcaption>
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<p>Details stay under wraps until the work is published.</p>
<p>For additional experts in the this field, see <a href="../about.html">about</a> page</p>



 ]]></description>
  <category>Upcoming</category>
  <category>Water</category>
  <category>Knowledge</category>
  <category>Global</category>
  <guid>https://rafikiardhi.earth/projects/soils-in-motion.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Sat, 10 Oct 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
  <media:content url="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/desert-camp-card.jpg" medium="image" type="image/jpeg" height="96" width="144"/>
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<item>
  <title>Cumulative knowledge</title>
  <link>https://rafikiardhi.earth/projects/cumulative-knowledge.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 





<p>Environmental knowledge keeps getting reset. A new survey, a new map or a new project arrives, and the last one is quietly replaced, along with everything it cost and everything it knew.</p>
<p>We’re working on the opposite: updating what is known as new data arrives, so that knowledge accumulates and uncertainty falls with each round instead of starting over. In Limpopo, South Africa, a continental soil survey is used to update regional soil fertility maps into domains that support land-use decisions.</p>
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<p><img src="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/sfd-limpopo.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="Map of Limpopo Province coloured into nine soil fertility domains, from dark purple and blue for lower fertility to orange and dark red for higher fertility, with large connected regions following the landscape."></p>
<figcaption>Soil fertility domains across Limpopo Province, South Africa, ordered from lowest (1) to highest (9) fertility, from updating a regional map with a continental survey.</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<p>The method is an updated version of our <a href="../projects/southern-africa-depth.html">ISPM</a> digital soil mapping framework, built on the idea that the whole is greater than the sum of its parts. The updating is physics-based: it obeys the laws of thermodynamics and is solved exactly with calculus, rather than learned by AI. Every update can be traced, checked and explained, and the knowledge it adds is never lost to a black box.</p>
<p>(Manuscript under production)</p>



 ]]></description>
  <category>In progress</category>
  <category>Knowledge</category>
  <category>Southern Africa</category>
  <guid>https://rafikiardhi.earth/projects/cumulative-knowledge.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Sat, 03 Oct 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
  <media:content url="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/cumulative-knowledge-card.jpg" medium="image" type="image/jpeg" height="72" width="144"/>
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<item>
  <title>Soil keys in your language</title>
  <link>https://rafikiardhi.earth/projects/multilingual-keys.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 





<p>Soil classification keys in Farsi, Kiswahili and the South African system, built with soil scientists who speak those languages. Language matters as much as the logic: a key is only useful if people can read it in their own words.</p>
<p><a href="../soil-keys.html">Try the keys →</a></p>



 ]]></description>
  <category>In progress</category>
  <category>Languages</category>
  <category>Socio-ecological</category>
  <guid>https://rafikiardhi.earth/projects/multilingual-keys.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Fri, 02 Oct 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
  <media:content url="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/farsi-img-card.jpg" medium="image" type="image/jpeg" height="94" width="144"/>
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  <title>Caribbean pedohydrology</title>
  <link>https://rafikiardhi.earth/projects/caribbean-flood.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 





<p>The island has never had a soil survey, yet flood models need to know how much water the soil holds and how much runs off. What makes this project different is that uncertainty propagation guides every step: the hydropedological assumptions, the models, and the decisions built on them.</p>
<div class="quarto-figure quarto-figure-center">
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<p><img src="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/hsg-tool-screenshot.png" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="Screenshot of the RafikiArdhi hydrologic soil group tool: soil inputs on the left, and on the right the result, group C, with the saturated conductivity estimate and the NRCS decision table."></p>
<figcaption>Our free hydrologic soil group tool applies the standard NRCS rules to a single soil. The project goes further, with no soil survey to start from and uncertainty carried through and informs every step.</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<p><a href="../tools.html#hsg">Try the free tool →</a></p>



 ]]></description>
  <category>NDA</category>
  <category>In progress</category>
  <category>Water</category>
  <category>Socio-ecological</category>
  <category>Caribbean</category>
  <guid>https://rafikiardhi.earth/projects/caribbean-flood.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Thu, 01 Oct 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
  <media:content url="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/carib-area.jpg" medium="image" type="image/jpeg" height="80" width="144"/>
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<item>
  <title>Soil resilience</title>
  <link>https://rafikiardhi.earth/projects/soil-resilience.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 





<p>Soil is not a random mixture. Soil organises itself over time, using and releasing energy as water, heat and carbon move through, and that organisation is what lets soil absorb shocks and performs many ecosystem services at once. We measure it with thermodynamics rather than by counting soil types: in other words, pedodiversity reflects how a soil dissipates energy relative to what it has available.</p>
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<p><img src="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/grassland-restoration.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="A grassy hillside with a line of tree guards and an electric fence, below a forested hill under grey clouds."></p>
<figcaption>Grassland in recovery along an agroforestry system in Germany, with young trees in guards along the slope.</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<p>In the U.S. Southwest, this approach revealed agroecosystem patterns on ancestral and contemporary Indigenous lands, from the Chuska Mountains to the Great Sage Plain and Hopi Land, where generations of land use and soil organisation are written into the landscape. The original preprint focused on this area because of our knowledge of, and closeness to, the land, but it raised more questions than it answered. Humanity’s tie to the land is not unique to this region, and the questions that run from pedodiversity to pedocomplexity can be studied at many scales and with many techniques, for the wellbeing of both ecosystems and people.</p>
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<p><img src="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/soil-resilience-figure.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="Three-part graphical abstract: a depth curve of soil states, a three-dimensional block showing a cone of soil organisation narrowing with depth, and a colour scale listing enthalpy, entropy, exergy and free energy, with the caption cultural insight and physics-informed model."></p>
<figcaption>From soil states with depth (A), to thermodynamic pedodiversity in three dimensions (B), to pedocomplexity (C): cultural insight and a physics-informed model, working together.</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<p><strong>Preprint:</strong> <a href="https://doi.org/10.32942/X2H66M">Thermodynamic pedodiversity patterns reveal agroecosystem patterns in Indigenous lands of the U.S. Southwest</a></p>



 ]]></description>
  <category>Under review</category>
  <category>Knowledge</category>
  <category>Socio-ecological</category>
  <category>Western US</category>
  <category>Global</category>
  <guid>https://rafikiardhi.earth/projects/soil-resilience.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Tue, 15 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
  <media:content url="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/termite-mound-card.jpg" medium="image" type="image/jpeg" height="96" width="144"/>
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  <title>Our own backyard, Colorado</title>
  <link>https://rafikiardhi.earth/projects/home-garden.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 





<p>We test our homeowner tools where it matters most to us: at home.</p>
<p>The yard had a compacted, uneven surface, patchy drainage, an irregular shape that made the area easy to misjudge, and a 1 m drop along the left fence line, where the fence and part of the yard were slowly slumping into the neighbour’s property.</p>
<p>We turned the lawn edges and bare ground into gravel paths, raised beds and drip irrigation, working out every quantity of soil, mulch and gravel first with the same free calculators on our <a href="../homeowners.html">Homeowners page</a>.</p>
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<p><img src="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/yard-before-after.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="Two photos side by side of the same backyard with a blue shed: before, with bare ground and a rough bed by the fence; after, with neat gravel borders, a raised bed and a hose."></p>
<figcaption>Before and after: bare ground and lawn edges turned into gravel beds and a raised garden bed.</figcaption>
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<p><img src="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/raised-bed-drip-card.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="A husky sniffing a raised garden bed of dark soil with drip irrigation emitters, each surrounded by a circle of wet soil."></p>
<figcaption>The legal boss and professional hole digger checks the new raised bed. The wet circles show where each drip emitter waters the soil.</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>



 ]]></description>
  <category>Homeowners</category>
  <category>Water</category>
  <category>Western US</category>
  <guid>https://rafikiardhi.earth/projects/home-garden.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Fri, 01 May 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
  <media:content url="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/yard-after-card.jpg" medium="image" type="image/jpeg" height="96" width="144"/>
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<item>
  <title>World Bank carbon credits</title>
  <link>https://rafikiardhi.earth/projects/mpumalanga-carbon.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 





<p>Carbon credits depend on knowing how much carbon is in the soil before anything changes. For a World Bank–funded carbon credit programme in Mpumalanga, South Africa, we created the baseline soil carbon stock maps using spatial mixed models, which account for how carbon varies across the landscape and how confident each estimate is.</p>
<p>These baselines are the reference that every future change in soil carbon is measured against.</p>
<div class="quarto-figure quarto-figure-center">
<figure class="figure">
<p><img src="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/soc-depth-spline.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="Six small maps of soil organic carbon at depths from 0–20 cm to 100–150 cm, decreasing with depth, beside a larger map of the whole-profile total."></p>
<figcaption>Illustrative example of soil organic carbon mapped with depth and summed over the whole profile, from separate work. Maps from the World Bank programme are under NDA and not shown.</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>



 ]]></description>
  <category>NDA</category>
  <category>Carbon</category>
  <category>Southern Africa</category>
  <guid>https://rafikiardhi.earth/projects/mpumalanga-carbon.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Sun, 01 Mar 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
  <media:content url="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/blyde-canyon-card.jpg" medium="image" type="image/jpeg" height="96" width="144"/>
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  <title>Soils4Africa mapping</title>
  <link>https://rafikiardhi.earth/projects/southern-africa-depth.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 





<p>Soil properties mapped consistently with depth across Eswatini, Lesotho, Namibia and South Africa, so that maps no longer jump at every layer boundary. The research formed part of <a href="https://www.soils4africa-h2020.eu/">Soils4Africa</a>, an EU Horizon 2020 project building an open-data Soil Information System to help farmers, agri-businesses, scientists and policymakers by improving the quality and availability of African soil data.</p>
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<p><img src="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/sa-landuse-map.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img" style="width:65.0%" alt="Map of southern Africa showing agricultural land in dark grey and non-agricultural land in light grey across Namibia, South Africa, Lesotho and Eswatini."></p>
<figcaption>Agricultural land across the study area in Namibia, South Africa, Lesotho and Eswatini.</figcaption>
</figure>
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<p>Sampling was sparse, only two horizons were sampled per profile, and the environmental gradients were extreme, so we developed a new method for the project: Integrated Soil Profile Mapping (ISPM). It builds on our earlier physics-informed depth spline (<a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2026.181621">phySpline</a>) and is now being extended to update existing soil maps and support decisions. See <a href="../projects/cumulative-knowledge.html">Cumulative knowledge</a>.</p>
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<p><img src="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/sa-eswatini-highlands.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="Green rolling hills and forested valleys at dusk, with an aloe in the foreground."></p>
<figcaption>Humid highlands: eSwatini, near Sheba Rock.</figcaption>
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<p><img src="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/sa-kruger-storm.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="Lightning striking beyond a wide dry sandy riverbed lined with bush, under dark storm clouds."></p>
<figcaption>Savanna: a storm over a dry sand river in Kruger.</figcaption>
</figure>
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<div class="quarto-figure quarto-figure-center">
<figure class="figure">
<p><img src="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/sa-namib-dunes.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="A tall red sand dune with a few camel thorn trees on a flat gravel plain under a clear blue sky."></p>
<figcaption>Desert: dunes of the Namib. Soil organic carbon, organisms and water are present under the surface.</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="quarto-figure quarto-figure-center">
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<p><img src="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/malawi-profiles-figure.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="Left: a map of a Malawi study area shaded by rainfall, temperature and elevation, with numbered sample sites. Right: six soil profiles showing texture classes as coloured bands, with clay, sand and silt drawn as smooth curves down to about 150 cm."></p>
<figcaption>Texture profiles in Malawi drawn as continuous curves with depth, beside the site’s climate and elevation (Flynn et al., 2026).</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<p><strong>Preprint:</strong> <a href="https://doi.org/10.31223/X5JN5T">Integrated soil profile mapping reveals regional patterns of soil condition across Southern African agricultural lands</a></p>



 ]]></description>
  <category>Under review</category>
  <category>Knowledge</category>
  <category>Southern Africa</category>
  <guid>https://rafikiardhi.earth/projects/southern-africa-depth.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Sun, 01 Jun 2025 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
  <media:content url="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/namib-road-card.jpg" medium="image" type="image/jpeg" height="96" width="144"/>
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  <title>De-bushing and the soil system</title>
  <link>https://rafikiardhi.earth/projects/steambioafrica.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 





<p>Invasive bush is spreading across Southern African rangelands, choking grazing land and water. Clearing it can restore land, livelihoods and can be used as a source of biofuel for cooking or energy; however, what does it do to the ecosystem we cannot see?</p>
<div class="quarto-figure quarto-figure-center">
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<p><img src="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/elephant-acacia.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="An elephant standing in the shade of a lone umbrella thorn tree beside a road, with dry grass and leafless bush behind."></p>
<figcaption>Shade is scarce in encroached bushveld, for people and wildlife alike.</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<p>As a research consultant to <a href="https://www.slu.se/en/research/research-catalogue/projekt/s/steambioafrica/">SLU</a> (the Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences) on SteamBioAfrica, an EU Horizon 2020 project turning invasive woody biomass into products that benefit local communities, we modelled soil carbon dynamics during and after de-bushing and pesticide use in Namibia, Botswana and South Africa.</p>
<div class="quarto-figure quarto-figure-center">
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<p><img src="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/residue-cover-card.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="Close-up of dark bare soil partly covered with dry straw and residue after clearing."></p>
<figcaption>Crop residue left on bare soil after clearing: what stays on the surface shapes whats underneath your feet.</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>



 ]]></description>
  <category>Carbon</category>
  <category>Water</category>
  <category>Socio-ecological</category>
  <category>Partnerships</category>
  <category>Southern Africa</category>
  <guid>https://rafikiardhi.earth/projects/steambioafrica.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Thu, 01 Jun 2023 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
  <media:content url="https://rafikiardhi.earth/images/bush-thinning-card.jpg" medium="image" type="image/jpeg" height="96" width="144"/>
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